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29 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.8%
Sheffield Wednesday
31.1%
Draw
49.1%
Blackburn

Expected Goals (xG)

0.72

Sheffield Wednesday

vs
1.29

Blackburn

Markets

BTTS38.3%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.514.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.2%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
0-3
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
2-0
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).