Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.7%
Cartagena
22.5%
Draw
57.8%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Cartagena
vs
1.83
Malaga
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.3%
1-1
10.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
2-3
2.9%
0-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).