Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Valencia
29.1%
Draw
28.6%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Valencia
vs
0.98
Eibar
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
13.1%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).