Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.0%
Sutton
25.7%
Draw
22.3%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Sutton
vs
1.06
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).