⚽ FootballData
1 – 3
AHT: 10CSV

18 Mar 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
39.5%
Gateshead
30.6%
Draw
29.9%
Braintree Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Gateshead

vs
1.04

Braintree Town

Markets

BTTS47.0%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).