Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.3%
Ponferradina
30.4%
Draw
28.3%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Ponferradina
vs
0.87
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).