Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.6%
Valencia
27.6%
Draw
25.8%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Valencia
vs
0.97
Leganes
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).