Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.0%
Carlisle
24.5%
Draw
52.5%
Bradford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Carlisle
vs
1.55
Bradford
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).