Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.3%
Nacional
17.2%
Draw
75.6%
Bromsgrove Sporting
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
Nacional
vs
2.31
Bromsgrove Sporting
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.6%
0-1
12.1%
0-3
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
1-1
8.1%
1-3
6.7%
0-4
6.5%
0-0
6.1%
1-4
3.9%
0-5
3.0%
1-0
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).