Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Tranmere
23.8%
Draw
33.0%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Tranmere
vs
1.32
Barrow
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.2%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).