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HHT: 01CSV

09 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.1%
Morton
30.3%
Draw
53.6%
Livingston

Expected Goals (xG)

0.71

Morton

vs
1.47

Livingston

Markets

BTTS41.0%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.7%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
13.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
6.1%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.1%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).