Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.9%
Lamia
29.1%
Draw
58.0%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53
Lamia
vs
1.42
Aris
Markets
BTTS32.4%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.1%
0-0
15.1%
0-2
14.3%
1-1
11.7%
1-2
7.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-1
2.9%
0-4
2.4%
2-2
2.0%
2-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).