Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Altrincham
26.0%
Draw
51.2%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Altrincham
vs
1.70
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).