Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.1%
Exeter
30.2%
Draw
45.7%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Exeter
vs
1.08
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS31.8%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.551.8%
Over 2.526.1%
Over 3.510.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.5%
0-0
16.0%
1-0
12.8%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
4.4%
2-0
4.0%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-1
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).