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12 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.7%
Dorking
26.4%
Draw
39.0%
Maidenhead

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Dorking

vs
1.53

Maidenhead

Markets

BTTS60.6%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.0%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).