Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Ternana
27.5%
Draw
26.2%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Ternana
vs
1.13
Empoli
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).