Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.8%
Leganes
30.8%
Draw
19.5%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Leganes
vs
0.62
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS31.9%
Over 0.583.6%
Over 1.553.6%
Over 2.527.0%
Over 3.510.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.7%
0-0
16.4%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
11.5%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-0
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
0-2
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).