Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.8%
Estrela
22.0%
Draw
54.2%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Estrela
vs
2.11
Estoril
Markets
BTTS65.8%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.545.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
0-1
6.0%
0-3
4.9%
2-3
4.5%
1-0
3.7%
0-0
3.7%
1-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).