Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.6%
Cartagena
29.1%
Draw
47.3%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Cartagena
vs
1.25
Leganes
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.4%
0-0
12.9%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).