Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.5%
Torino
21.8%
Draw
22.6%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Torino
vs
1.14
Benevento
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
0-0
4.5%
3-2
3.6%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).