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09 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.3%
Polissya Zhytomyr
23.4%
Draw
12.4%
Oleksandria

Expected Goals (xG)

1.74

Polissya Zhytomyr

vs
0.61

Oleksandria

Markets

BTTS38.1%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.3%
2-0
14.4%
1-1
10.5%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
8.3%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-0
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).