Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Lausanne Sport
29.8%
Draw
33.7%
Lugano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Lausanne Sport
vs
1.34
Lugano
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
6.8%
0-1
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).