Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.6%
Boavista
9.6%
Draw
86.8%
Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43
Boavista
vs
2.86
Sp Lisbon
Markets
BTTS32.8%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.541.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.2%
0-3
14.5%
0-1
10.9%
0-4
10.4%
1-2
6.6%
1-3
6.3%
0-5
5.9%
1-4
4.5%
1-1
4.4%
0-0
3.5%
1-5
2.6%
1-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).