Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Eldense
22.4%
Draw
50.5%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Eldense
vs
1.86
Almeria
Markets
BTTS61.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
7.9%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
0-3
4.5%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).