Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Spezia
31.5%
Draw
37.0%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Spezia
vs
0.99
Lecce
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.555.8%
Over 2.529.1%
Over 3.512.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.3%
0-0
15.0%
1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-0
6.0%
2-1
6.0%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).