Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.8%
Sheffield Weds
21.3%
Draw
65.9%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Sheffield Weds
vs
2.08
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.9%
0-1
10.7%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
8.3%
1-3
6.8%
0-0
6.3%
0-4
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
2-1
3.8%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).