Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Walsall
29.3%
Draw
37.5%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Walsall
vs
1.06
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.5%
0-2
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).