Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.7%
Spal
30.2%
Draw
31.1%
Reggina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Spal
vs
1.12
Reggina
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).