Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Sunderland
29.8%
Draw
35.9%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Sunderland
vs
1.20
Southampton
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).