Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.1%
Girona
15.6%
Draw
8.2%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Girona
vs
0.68
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.1%
3-0
10.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
6.5%
0-0
4.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-0
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
0-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).