Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
Grimsby
26.9%
Draw
41.7%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Grimsby
vs
1.27
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).