Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Hamburg
19.2%
Draw
18.1%
Kaiserslautern
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Hamburg
vs
1.35
Kaiserslautern
Markets
BTTS69.1%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.574.9%
Over 3.554.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.9%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
4-0
3.6%
4-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).