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DHT: 10CSV

28 Feb 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.7%
Maidstone
17.4%
Draw
70.9%
Scunthorpe

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Maidstone

vs
2.58

Scunthorpe

Markets

BTTS58.7%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
8.0%
1-3
8.0%
1-1
7.8%
0-1
6.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-4
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
2-3
4.0%
2-1
3.6%
0-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).