Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Swansea
30.2%
Draw
23.3%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Swansea
vs
0.87
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
13.7%
0-0
12.1%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).