Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Elche
28.5%
Draw
18.2%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Elche
vs
0.64
Leganes
Markets
BTTS34.5%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.7%
0-0
14.0%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
0-2
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).