Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.7%
Tondela
28.2%
Draw
33.1%
Vizela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Tondela
vs
1.02
Vizela
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.4%
0-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).