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10 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.0%
Bodrum FK
31.9%
Draw
47.1%
CSKA Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Bodrum FK

vs
1.29

CSKA Moskva

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.8%
1-1
14.2%
0-0
14.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
4.9%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).