Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Cittadella
29.7%
Draw
34.4%
FeralpiSalo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Cittadella
vs
1.22
FeralpiSalo
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).