Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Sochi
24.5%
Draw
37.7%
Krylya Sovetov
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Sochi
vs
1.75
Krylya Sovetov
Markets
BTTS69.4%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.567.9%
Over 3.546.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-0
4.2%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
2-3
4.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).