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01 Aug 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.8%
Pau FC
23.4%
Draw
15.8%
Atherton Laburnum Rovers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.66

Pau FC

vs
0.70

Atherton Laburnum Rovers

Markets

BTTS40.3%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.1%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
10.6%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
7.0%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).