Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.2%
Chesterfield
21.1%
Draw
27.7%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Chesterfield
vs
1.69
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS74.1%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.591.4%
Over 2.576.2%
Over 3.556.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.0%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
3-2
5.4%
2-0
4.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
1-0
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).