Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.9%
Wrexham
14.6%
Draw
8.5%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Wrexham
vs
0.67
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
1-0
11.0%
3-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
6.9%
4-0
6.6%
4-1
4.5%
0-0
4.1%
5-0
3.3%
0-1
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).