Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.8%
Clermont
20.9%
Draw
62.3%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Clermont
vs
1.86
Lyon
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.3%
1-0
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).