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02 Jan 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.4%
Fuenlabrada
30.3%
Draw
39.3%
Leganes

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Fuenlabrada

vs
1.09

Leganes

Markets

BTTS39.8%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.514.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.7%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
13.3%
1-0
12.5%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).