Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.0%
Roma
24.0%
Draw
11.9%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Roma
vs
0.52
Parma
Markets
BTTS31.9%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.5%
2-0
15.4%
0-0
12.0%
1-1
9.8%
3-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-0
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).