Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Tottenham
27.6%
Draw
45.4%
Aston Villa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Tottenham
vs
1.64
Aston Villa
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.8%
0-2
7.7%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
5.7%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).