Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.0%
QPR
22.3%
Draw
70.6%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.40
QPR
vs
1.78
Burnley
Markets
BTTS28.3%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.4%
0-2
17.8%
0-0
12.0%
0-3
10.6%
1-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
0-5
1.7%
2-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).