Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.0%
Vallecano
30.3%
Draw
25.7%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Vallecano
vs
0.85
Eibar
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).