Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.6%
Stevenage
26.7%
Draw
45.6%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Stevenage
vs
1.25
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.7%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
10.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).