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HHT: 01CSV

05 May 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.9%
Juventus
21.5%
Draw
18.6%
Bologna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.92

Juventus

vs
0.96

Bologna

Markets

BTTS52.5%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.0%
2-0
10.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
3.2%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).